Chapter 25 Celestial Prediction

This flood in Yu Province is unprecedented in a thousand years.

Wu Siyuan sees in the future that this flood has affected a total of 14.814 million people in 1,664 towns and towns in 150 counties (cities, districts) across the province, resulting in a total of 398 deaths and missing persons.

In terms of agriculture, 14.7 million acres of crops were affected in Yu Province, of which 9.7 million acres were affected by disasters and 5.7 million acres had no harvest; 120,000 acres of shed facilities were damaged, 10.6 million acres of farmland were affected, and 18,527 breeding farms were affected, and livestock and poultry died. 11.14 million head (individuals), 6.39 million square meters of pens were damaged, 330,000 acres of fishery were affected, and 94,000 acres were affected. This is the most severely affected agricultural industry in Yu Province in many years.

Not to mention other losses, direct economic losses reached 114.2 billion yuan, not to mention indirect losses.

For example, five chain hotels were looted by floods. The warehouse where the owner of the tobacco shop stored his liquor was washed away by the flood, causing a loss of two million yuan. The people at the bottom were even worse, such as beekeepers who had their beehives washed away, farmers whose farmlands were flooded... many People have lost the production tools they rely on for their livelihood.

The main area affected by the disaster in Yu Province this time is the Shangdu area.

In the Shangdu area, heavy rain began at 8 pm on July 19, and the water on the ground poured out like a gate.

As of 8 pm on July 20, for a full 24 hours, it rained non-stop. The cumulative rainfall reached 552.5 millimeters, which means the rain reached 55.25 centimeters. The average rainwater on the ground rose by as much as half a meter.

In fact, to be precise, this heavy rain started at 8 pm on July 17, and as of 8 pm on July 20, the cumulative precipitation reached 617.1 mm, while the annual average precipitation in Shangdu was only 640.8 mm.

In other words, the rainfall in Shangdu in three days is almost the same as the annual average rainfall in Shangdu.

According to monitoring by the local meteorological department, Shangdu received as much as 201.9 millimeters of rainfall in one hour.

What kind of digital concept is this?

This is equivalent to 103 volumes of West Lake water poured from the sky into the Shangdu area.

The drainage system in Shangdu is useless in this regard, and it is impossible not to cause flooding.

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Wu Siyuan has been concerned about this matter since he saw it in the future and wanted to do something.

It’s not just a matter of influence.

One of the most important reasons why Yu Province was hit so hard this time was Typhoon [Fireworks].

Severe Typhoon Fireworks is the sixth named storm in the 2021 Pacific typhoon season. It was upgraded to a tropical storm by the Central Meteorological Observatory at 2:00 on July 18, 2021, and was upgraded to a severe typhoon by the Central Meteorological Observatory at 11:00 on July 21.

It’s only June and there’s not even a single horoscope yet!

Typhoon [Fireworks] is the “culprit” that bears the brunt of the heavy rain in Yu Province.

Although [Fireworks] are still far away, when there is heavy rain in Yu Province, they are still 1,000 kilometers away from China, which can be said to be thousands of miles away.

However, its influence is very strong. In addition, the subtropical high pressure is emerging at the moment. Under the combined effect of the two, a large amount of water vapor on the sea level rides on this easterly wind to reach Yu Province, and eventually it rains. rainstorm.

The terrain of Yu Province is also the [accomplice] that caused this disaster to be so severe!

Judging from the subway map, there are Taihang Mountains in the north of Yu Province, and mountains composed of Xiong'er Mountain and Funiu Mountain in the west. After these mountains are formed, they form a natural wall.

The function is equivalent to the windward slopes of mountains. When typhoons carry water vapor from the sea and want to transport it to Yu Province, the mountains formed by these mountains act like a natural barrier, blocking the way.

Coupled with the convergent uplift in the mountain front and the flat terrain in some areas, this part of the rain eventually formed a concentrated rainfall situation in these flat areas.

This resulted in heavy rainstorms like those in Yu Province!

Wu Siyuan may not be able to stop the impact of typhoons on heavy rains and the damage to Yu Province, but he wants to minimize the damage caused by heavy rains to Yu Province and the whole country.

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The soon-to-be-released first [Dasheng Mobile Phone] is related to the future strategic development direction of [Chaoqun Group], and will undoubtedly bring immeasurable influence and energy to Wu Siyuan.

But at this time, Wu Siyuan's heart was no longer on it.

He came to [Gushen Group], which was independent from [Chaoqun Group] and was responsible for agricultural-related businesses!

[Gushen Group] has a department that makes weather forecasts and serves agriculture.

Although modern technology has developed rapidly, agriculture still relies on nature.

If the weather is not good, if it rains for a month or if there is drought for several months, the crops will definitely be destroyed if the people do not die.

This business mainly informs agriculture, water conservancy, meteorology and other fields, and provides data planting for agricultural planting through automatic monitoring and big data analysis. In fact, it provides forecasts of future weather, and it is also accurate forecasts.

Two aspects are the most critical.

One is astronomical data.

The other is data processing.

Astronomical data mainly comes from meteorological departments of various countries. Of course, more powerful commercial companies will obtain more meteorological data by launching meteorological satellites and establishing meteorological observation stations.

[Cershen Group] is backed by [Chaoqun Group], and the astronomical data it can obtain are among the best in the world.

As for data processing, it essentially uses algorithms to analyze and make statistics on celestial phenomena, and then derive the celestial phenomena in the future.

This is also part of the [Smart Agriculture] that [Cershen Group] has been promoting.

Originally, this business had been tepid, and its performance was not bad, but not impressive enough.

After all, weather forecasting seems simple, but it is actually very complex.

There is a saying in weather forecasting called "chaotic system", which means that small changes in initial conditions will lead to long-term huge chain reactions in the entire system.

Of course, not all changes in the initial conditions of a system will lead to huge chain reactions.

Only this kind of system that can produce such an impact is called a [chaotic system].

Chaotic systems are not really random, but appear to be random. The randomness they present comes from the fact that there are too many factors that affect movement in the system, making it impossible to understand all the data and make accurate predictions.

Weather is such a [chaotic system]. We can obtain more accurate meteorological data through more advanced meteorological satellites, but more accurate does not mean absolutely accurate. Small differences will lead to large differences in the final weather conditions. .

So from time to time the weather forecast is inaccurate.

Sometimes you see the weather forecast on your phone saying it will rain in two hours, but in fact, the sun shines two hours later.

That's the reason.